Modern Matchup Matrix
Head-to-head win rates for the top 16 archetypes by meta share. Sources: MTGO Challenge playoff brackets, TopDeck.gg paper event swiss rounds, and Gatherling community league rounds.
Window:
Sources: TopDeck.gg, mtgo · Data since Sep 2026 · 321 matches
| ↓ vs → | Mono-Green Basking Broodscale Combo | Goryo's Vengeance | Devoted Combo | Affinity | Jeskai Prowess | Esper GenericBlink | Ruby Storm | Eldrazi | Rakdos Midrange | Domain Zoo | Living End | Tron | Boros Ponza | 4/5c Omnath | Amulet Titan | Boros Energy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mono-Green Basking Broodscale Combo | 33%6m2-4 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | 60%10m6-4 (10 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | 76%17m13-4 (17 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | ~4m2-2 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 86%7m6-1 (7 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | 33%6m2-4 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | 40%5m2-3 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | 67%9m6-3 (9 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | 38%8m3-5 (8 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | 67%9m6-3 (9 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | ~4m2-2 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 67%6m4-2 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | 30%10m3-7 (10 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | 22%9m2-7 (9 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | 40%5m2-3 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | |
| Goryo's Vengeance | 67%6m4-2 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | 17%6m1-5 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~4m0-4 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | — | — | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | |
| Devoted Combo | 40%10m4-6 (10 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | 83%6m5-1 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | 40%5m2-3 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~4m2-2 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~4m1-3 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 0%5m0-5 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | — | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | |
| Affinity | 24%17m4-13 (17 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 60%5m3-2 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~4m2-2 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 80%5m4-1 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m0-3 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | |
| Jeskai Prowess | ~4m2-2 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~4m2-2 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | |
| Esper GenericBlink | 14%7m1-6 (7 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~4m4-0 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m0-3 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | |
| Ruby Storm | 67%6m4-2 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~4m3-1 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~4m2-2 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 40%5m2-3 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m0-3 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m3-0 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m0-3 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~4m3-1 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | |
| Eldrazi | 60%5m3-2 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | — | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 60%5m3-2 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m3-0 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | |
| Rakdos Midrange | 33%9m3-6 (9 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 100%5m5-0 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | 20%5m1-4 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~4m2-2 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | 60%5m3-2 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | 75%8m6-2 (8 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | ~4m2-2 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | |
| Domain Zoo | 63%8m5-3 (8 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m3-0 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | |
| Living End | 33%9m3-6 (9 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | — | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | — | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m0-3 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | — | — | |
| Tron | ~4m2-2 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m0-3 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~4m2-2 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | |
| Boros Ponza | 33%6m2-4 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | — | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m3-0 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | — | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | — | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | |
| 4/5c Omnath | 70%10m7-3 (10 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m3-0 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~3m3-0 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 40%5m2-3 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | — | — | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | |
| Amulet Titan | 78%9m7-2 (9 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | 25%8m2-6 (8 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | |
| Boros Energy | 60%5m3-2 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | — | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~4m1-3 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~4m2-2 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | — | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | — |
Cells show the row archetype's win rate against the column archetype, over the selected window, with the number of matches behind it. Hover any cell for the record.
- High sample (20+ matches)
- Medium sample (8–19 matches)
- Low sample (5–7 matches)
- Insufficient sample (under 5 matches)
Bands are named for the size of the sample, not for confidence: even the strongest band carries a 95% interval around ±20 percentage points. Below 5 matches no win rate is shown at all. How these are calculated