Pauper Matchup Matrix
Head-to-head win rates for the top 16 archetypes by meta share. Sources: MTGO Challenge playoff brackets, TopDeck.gg paper event swiss rounds, and Gatherling community league rounds.
Window:
Sources: Gatherling, TopDeck.gg, mtgo · Data since Sep 2026 · 383 matches
| ↓ vs → | Mono Red Madness | Mono-Blue Delver | Ephemerate Tron | Grixis Affinity | Jund Wildfire | Elves | Bogles | Mono Red Rally | Golgari Gardens | Gruul Ponza | Spy Combo | Dimir Faeries | Blue Terror | Grixis Faeries | Ruby Storm | Dimir Control |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mono Red Madness | 38%8m3-5 (8 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | 40%20m8-12 (20 matches) — High sample, 20+ matches | 43%21m9-12 (21 matches) — High sample, 20+ matches | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 75%24m18-6 (24 matches) — High sample, 20+ matches | 40%10m4-6 (10 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | 50%6m3-3 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | 0%7m0-7 (7 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~4m1-3 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 93%15m14-1 (15 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | 50%6m3-3 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | 60%5m3-2 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | 60%5m3-2 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | 20%5m1-4 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~4m3-1 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | |
| Mono-Blue Delver | 63%8m5-3 (8 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 56%9m5-4 (9 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | 100%5m5-0 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | — | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~4m3-1 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | |
| Ephemerate Tron | 60%20m12-8 (20 matches) — High sample, 20+ matches | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 67%6m4-2 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 50%10m5-5 (10 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 71%7m5-2 (7 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m0-3 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 29%7m2-5 (7 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | — | ~3m0-3 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | |
| Grixis Affinity | 57%21m12-9 (21 matches) — High sample, 20+ matches | 44%9m4-5 (9 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | 33%6m2-4 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 50%6m3-3 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | 33%9m3-6 (9 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~4m2-2 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 67%6m4-2 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | |
| Jund Wildfire | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 0%5m0-5 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~4m2-2 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | — | — | — | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | |
| Elves | 25%24m6-18 (24 matches) — High sample, 20+ matches | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 50%10m5-5 (10 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | 50%6m3-3 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | — | ~4m4-0 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 30%10m3-7 (10 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | 33%6m2-4 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~4m4-0 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 0%5m0-5 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | — | |
| Bogles | 60%10m6-4 (10 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 67%9m6-3 (9 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~4m0-4 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m0-3 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | |
| Mono Red Rally | 50%6m3-3 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 29%7m2-5 (7 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 70%10m7-3 (10 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 20%5m1-4 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 71%7m5-2 (7 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | — | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | |
| Golgari Gardens | 100%7m7-0 (7 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 67%6m4-2 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~3m3-0 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | |
| Gruul Ponza | ~4m3-1 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~3m3-0 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | |
| Spy Combo | 7%15m1-14 (15 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | — | 71%7m5-2 (7 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~4m2-2 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~4m0-4 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 80%5m4-1 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | — | ~3m0-3 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | |
| Dimir Faeries | 50%6m3-3 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~4m2-2 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 25%8m2-6 (8 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | |
| Blue Terror | 40%5m2-3 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | — | ~3m3-0 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 29%7m2-5 (7 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | — | ~4m3-1 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | |
| Grixis Faeries | 40%5m2-3 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | — | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | — | — | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | |
| Ruby Storm | 80%5m4-1 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m1-2 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | 33%6m2-4 (6 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | — | 100%5m5-0 (5 matches) — Low sample, 5–7 matches | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m2-1 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~3m3-0 (3 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~2m0-2 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | |
| Dimir Control | ~4m1-3 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~4m1-3 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~2m2-0 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~1m1-0 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | ~2m1-1 (2 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — | — | 75%8m6-2 (8 matches) — Medium sample, 8–19 matches | ~4m1-3 (4 matches) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | ~1m0-1 (1 match) — Insufficient sample, so no win rate is shown | — |
Cells show the row archetype's win rate against the column archetype, over the selected window, with the number of matches behind it. Hover any cell for the record.
- High sample (20+ matches)
- Medium sample (8–19 matches)
- Low sample (5–7 matches)
- Insufficient sample (under 5 matches)
Bands are named for the size of the sample, not for confidence: even the strongest band carries a 95% interval around ±20 percentage points. Below 5 matches no win rate is shown at all. How these are calculated